Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

U.S. Representative from New York

14%±0

Chance of winning the 2028 Democratic nomination, 1st among the contenders we track. Kalshi 14% · Polymarket 15%

Markets: Kalshi · Polymarket

Background

A former bartender and community organizer, Ocasio-Cortez won her House seat in 2018 by defeating a 10-term incumbent in the Democratic primary. At 29 she was the youngest woman ever elected to Congress at the time.

Born: October 13, 1989 in The Bronx, New York (age 37)
Home state: New York
Education: Boston University

Career

U.S. Representative, NY-14 (2019–)
Organizer for the 2016 Bernie Sanders campaign

Notable record

Defeated House Democratic Caucus Chair Joe Crowley in the 2018 primary
Co-wrote the Green New Deal resolution (2019)
Toured the country with Sen. Bernie Sanders on the 2025 "Fighting Oligarchy" tour

Other Democratic contenders

Facts as of November 5, 2026. Photo via Wikimedia Commons. Spot an error? Tell us. See all candidates or the 2028 forecast.