Tennessee Senate Election 2026: Live Results
The Tennessee Senate Election 2026 is on November 3, 2026. Marquita Bradshaw (Democrat) faces Republican Bill Hagerty (incumbent). The seat is currently held by Republicans. VoteTide rates the race Safe R. Prediction markets give Bill Hagerty a 98% chance of winning. The last polls in Tennessee close at 8 p.m. Eastern.
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Updated Tue, 03 Nov 2026 15:15:54 GMT
Results
No votes have been reported yet. Polls close at 8 p.m. Eastern.
Candidates
- Marquita Bradshaw (Democrat)
- Bill Hagerty (Republican, incumbent)
Odds
- Kalshi: Democrat 2%, Republican 98%
- Polymarket: Democrat 2%, Republican 98%
Rating: Safe R
What's at stake
For the country
- This seat is held by Republicans. A Democratic win would be a flip, one of the 4 net gains Democrats need to reach 51 seats and take control.
- A Republican hold keeps it in the column that protects the current 53-seat majority.
- Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass.
For Tennessee
- Senators vote on every federal law, confirm Supreme Court justices, federal judges and cabinet members, and ratify treaties. Terms last six years.
- Bill Hagerty is the incumbent. Incumbents bring seniority, name recognition and committee roles; challengers argue for a fresh start.
Marquita Bradshaw
- Supporters say a Democratic senator would push to lower health-care costs and protect the Affordable Care Act.
- They argue for restoring federal abortion protections and expanding voting access.
- They favour raising taxes on the highest earners and corporations to fund programs.
Bill Hagerty
- Supporters say a Republican senator would keep taxes low and protect recent tax cuts.
- They argue for tighter border security and stricter immigration enforcement.
- They favour expanding domestic energy production and cutting federal regulation.
Arguments are summarised at party level from each side's stated priorities, not quotes from the candidates.
Frequently asked questions
Who is running in the Tennessee Senate Election 2026?
Marquita Bradshaw (D), Bill Hagerty (R, incumbent).
Who is favored to win the Tennessee senate race?
Prediction markets give Bill Hagerty a 98% chance. VoteTide's rating is Safe R.
When do polls close in Tennessee?
On November 3, 2026, the last polls in Tennessee close at 8 p.m. Eastern. The first results usually appear within an hour.
Where do these Tennessee results come from?
Vote counts come from official election sources as they are published (and from the AP when configured). Odds come from Kalshi and Polymarket, and polls from public polling tables. The page refreshes every minute.
Tennessee at a glance
- 2024 presidential result: Trump +29.7
- Electoral votes: 11
- U.S. House seats: 9