VoteTide

Tennessee Governor Election 2026: Live Results

The Tennessee Governor Election 2026 is on November 3, 2026. Jerri Green (Democrat) faces Republican Marsha Blackburn. The seat is currently held by Republicans and is open this year. VoteTide rates the race Safe R. Prediction markets give Marsha Blackburn a 94% chance of winning. The last polls in Tennessee close at 8 p.m. Eastern.

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Updated Tue, 03 Nov 2026 14:53:44 GMT

Results

No votes have been reported yet. Polls close at 8 p.m. Eastern.

Candidates

  • Jerri Green (Democrat)
  • Marsha Blackburn (Republican)

Odds

  • Kalshi: Democrat 6%, Republican 94%
  • Polymarket: Democrat 6%, Republican 94%

Rating: Safe R

What's at stake

For the country

  • Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally.
  • A Democratic win would be a flip from Republican control.

For Tennessee

  • The governor signs or vetoes state laws, writes the state budget, runs state agencies, appoints officials and judges in many states, and in many states shapes how district maps are drawn.
  • For Tennessee, the result decides whether the governor's party matches the legislature's, which shapes what can pass in the next four years.
  • It is an open seat, so there is no incumbent advantage this year.

Jerri Green

  • Supporters say a Democratic governor would invest in public schools and expand health coverage.
  • They argue for protecting abortion access at the state level and raising wages.

Marsha Blackburn

  • Supporters say a Republican governor would cut state income taxes and limit state spending.
  • They argue for school choice, public-safety funding and fewer business regulations.

Arguments are summarised at party level from each side's stated priorities, not quotes from the candidates.

Frequently asked questions

Who is running in the Tennessee Governor Election 2026?

Jerri Green (D), Marsha Blackburn (R).

Who is favored to win the Tennessee governor race?

Prediction markets give Marsha Blackburn a 94% chance. VoteTide's rating is Safe R.

When do polls close in Tennessee?

On November 3, 2026, the last polls in Tennessee close at 8 p.m. Eastern. The first results usually appear within an hour.

Where do these Tennessee results come from?

Vote counts come from official election sources as they are published (and from the AP when configured). Odds come from Kalshi and Polymarket, and polls from public polling tables. The page refreshes every minute.

Tennessee at a glance

  • 2024 presidential result: Trump +29.7
  • Electoral votes: 11
  • U.S. House seats: 9

Other Tennessee races: SenateHouse