Virginia Senate Election 2026: Live Results
The Virginia Senate Election 2026 is on November 3, 2026. Mark Warner (Democrat, incumbent) faces Republican Bert Mizusawa. The seat is currently held by Democrats. VoteTide rates the race Safe D. Prediction markets give Mark Warner a 99% chance of winning. The last polls in Virginia close at 7 p.m. Eastern.
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Updated Tue, 03 Nov 2026 17:08:44 GMT
Results
No votes have been reported yet. Polls close at 7 p.m. Eastern.
Ballots already cast
This state doesn't register voters by party, so only totals are shown.
- Voted in person (early)1,313,198
- Voted by mail331,311
- Total ballots cast1,644,509
- Share of 2022 total turnout54%
- Mail ballots requested463,055
UF Election Lab · updated 11/3/2026
Candidates
- Mark Warner (Democrat, incumbent)
- Bert Mizusawa (Republican)
Odds
- Kalshi: Democrat 99%, Republican 1%
- Polymarket: Democrat 99%, Republican 1%
Rating: Safe D
What's at stake
For the country
- This seat is held by Democrats. Losing it would make the path to a majority harder: they would then need 5 flips elsewhere.
- For Republicans it is a pick-up chance that would add a cushion to their majority.
- Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass.
For Virginia
- Senators vote on every federal law, confirm Supreme Court justices, federal judges and cabinet members, and ratify treaties. Terms last six years.
- Mark Warner is the incumbent. Incumbents bring seniority, name recognition and committee roles; challengers argue for a fresh start.
Mark Warner
- Supporters say a Democratic senator would push to lower health-care costs and protect the Affordable Care Act.
- They argue for restoring federal abortion protections and expanding voting access.
- They favour raising taxes on the highest earners and corporations to fund programs.
Bert Mizusawa
- Supporters say a Republican senator would keep taxes low and protect recent tax cuts.
- They argue for tighter border security and stricter immigration enforcement.
- They favour expanding domestic energy production and cutting federal regulation.
Arguments are summarised at party level from each side's stated priorities, not quotes from the candidates.
Frequently asked questions
Who is running in the Virginia Senate Election 2026?
Mark Warner (D, incumbent), Bert Mizusawa (R).
Who is favored to win the Virginia senate race?
Prediction markets give Mark Warner a 99% chance. VoteTide's rating is Safe D.
When do polls close in Virginia?
On November 3, 2026, the last polls in Virginia close at 7 p.m. Eastern. The first results usually appear within an hour.
Where do these Virginia results come from?
Vote counts come from official election sources as they are published (and from the AP when configured). Odds come from Kalshi and Polymarket, and polls from public polling tables. The page refreshes every minute.
Virginia at a glance
- 2024 presidential result: Harris +5.8
- Electoral votes: 13
- U.S. House seats: 11
Other Virginia races: House