Mississippi Senate Election 2026: Live Results
The Mississippi Senate Election 2026 is on November 3, 2026. Scott Colom (Democrat) faces Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith (incumbent). The seat is currently held by Republicans. VoteTide rates the race Likely R. Prediction markets give Cindy Hyde-Smith a 87% chance of winning. The average of the last 4 polls has Cindy Hyde-Smith ahead by 6.3 points. The last polls in Mississippi close at 8 p.m. Eastern.
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Updated Tue, 03 Nov 2026 16:04:39 GMT
Results
No votes have been reported yet. Polls close at 8 p.m. Eastern.
Candidates
- Scott Colom (Democrat)
- Cindy Hyde-Smith (Republican, incumbent)
Odds
- Kalshi: Democrat 14%, Republican 87%
- Polymarket: Democrat 12%, Republican 88%
Rating: Likely R
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Colom | Hyde-Smith |
|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D) | October 21–22, 2026 | 40% | 43% |
| Data for Progress (D) | August 5–15, 2026 | 38% | 44% |
| Impact Research (D) | April 8–12, 2026 | 39% | 42% |
| Impact Research (D) | June 18–22, 2025 | 38% | 51% |
What's at stake
For the country
- This seat is held by Republicans. A Democratic win would be a flip, one of the 4 net gains Democrats need to reach 51 seats and take control.
- A Republican hold keeps it in the column that protects the current 53-seat majority.
- Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass.
For Mississippi
- Senators vote on every federal law, confirm Supreme Court justices, federal judges and cabinet members, and ratify treaties. Terms last six years.
- Cindy Hyde-Smith is the incumbent. Incumbents bring seniority, name recognition and committee roles; challengers argue for a fresh start.
Scott Colom
- Supporters say a Democratic senator would push to lower health-care costs and protect the Affordable Care Act.
- They argue for restoring federal abortion protections and expanding voting access.
- They favour raising taxes on the highest earners and corporations to fund programs.
Cindy Hyde-Smith
- Supporters say a Republican senator would keep taxes low and protect recent tax cuts.
- They argue for tighter border security and stricter immigration enforcement.
- They favour expanding domestic energy production and cutting federal regulation.
Arguments are summarised at party level from each side's stated priorities, not quotes from the candidates.
Frequently asked questions
Who is running in the Mississippi Senate Election 2026?
Scott Colom (D), Cindy Hyde-Smith (R, incumbent).
Who is favored to win the Mississippi senate race?
Prediction markets give Cindy Hyde-Smith a 87% chance. VoteTide's rating is Likely R.
When do polls close in Mississippi?
On November 3, 2026, the last polls in Mississippi close at 8 p.m. Eastern. The first results usually appear within an hour.
Where do these Mississippi results come from?
Vote counts come from official election sources as they are published (and from the AP when configured). Odds come from Kalshi and Polymarket, and polls from public polling tables. The page refreshes every minute.
Mississippi at a glance
- 2024 presidential result: Trump +22.9
- Electoral votes: 6
- U.S. House seats: 4
Other Mississippi races: House