Iowa Senate Election 2026: Live Results
The Iowa Senate Election 2026 is on November 3, 2026. Josh Turek (Democrat) faces Republican Ashley Hinson. The seat is currently held by Republicans and is open this year. VoteTide rates the race Toss-up. Prediction markets give Josh Turek a 52% chance of winning. The average of the last 5 polls has Josh Turek ahead by 0.8 points. The last polls in Iowa close at 10 p.m. Eastern.
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Updated Tue, 03 Nov 2026 14:52:39 GMT
Results
No votes have been reported yet. Polls close at 10 p.m. Eastern.
Candidates
- Josh Turek (Democrat)
- Ashley Hinson (Republican)
Odds
- Kalshi: Democrat 52%, Republican 49%
- Polymarket: Democrat 52%, Republican 48%
Rating: Toss-up
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Turek | Hinson |
|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel | October 28 – November 1, 2026 | 51% | 46% |
| New York Times/Siena University | October 26 – November 1, 2026 | 48% | 47% |
| GrayHouse (R) | October 28–31, 2026 | 46% | 48% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | October 27–31, 2026 | 46% | 47% |
| YouGov | October 26–29, 2026 | 50% | 49% |
| co/efficient (R) | October 28, 2026 | 46% | 48% |
| Echelon Insights (R) | October 16–23, 2026 | 45% | 43% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | October 21–22, 2026 | 45% | 47% |
| co/efficient (R) | October 15–19, 2026 | 45% | 48% |
| Trafalgar Group (R) | October 13–15, 2026 | 44% | 46% |
What's at stake
For the country
- This seat is held by Republicans. A Democratic win would be a flip, one of the 4 net gains Democrats need to reach 51 seats and take control.
- A Republican hold keeps it in the column that protects the current 53-seat majority.
- Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass.
For Iowa
- Senators vote on every federal law, confirm Supreme Court justices, federal judges and cabinet members, and ratify treaties. Terms last six years.
- It is an open seat, so there is no incumbent advantage this year.
Josh Turek
- Supporters say a Democratic senator would push to lower health-care costs and protect the Affordable Care Act.
- They argue for restoring federal abortion protections and expanding voting access.
- They favour raising taxes on the highest earners and corporations to fund programs.
Ashley Hinson
- Supporters say a Republican senator would keep taxes low and protect recent tax cuts.
- They argue for tighter border security and stricter immigration enforcement.
- They favour expanding domestic energy production and cutting federal regulation.
Arguments are summarised at party level from each side's stated priorities, not quotes from the candidates.
Frequently asked questions
Who is running in the Iowa Senate Election 2026?
Josh Turek (D), Ashley Hinson (R).
Who is favored to win the Iowa senate race?
Prediction markets give Josh Turek a 52% chance. VoteTide's rating is Toss-up.
When do polls close in Iowa?
On November 3, 2026, the last polls in Iowa close at 10 p.m. Eastern. The first results usually appear within an hour.
Where do these Iowa results come from?
Vote counts come from official election sources as they are published (and from the AP when configured). Odds come from Kalshi and Polymarket, and polls from public polling tables. The page refreshes every minute.
Iowa at a glance
- 2024 presidential result: Trump +13.2
- Electoral votes: 6
- U.S. House seats: 4