VoteTide

Wisconsin Governor Election 2026: Live Results

The Wisconsin Governor Election 2026 is on November 3, 2026. David Crowley (Democrat) faces Republican Tom Tiffany. The seat is currently held by Democrats and is open this year. VoteTide rates the race Lean D. Prediction markets give David Crowley a 86% chance of winning. The average of the last 5 polls has David Crowley ahead by 4.8 points. The last polls in Wisconsin close at 9 p.m. Eastern.

Open the live interactive map →

Updated Tue, 03 Nov 2026 16:29:33 GMT

Results

No votes have been reported yet. Polls close at 9 p.m. Eastern.

Candidates

  • David Crowley (Democrat)
  • Tom Tiffany (Republican)

Odds

  • Kalshi: Democrat 85%, Republican 15%
  • Polymarket: Democrat 87%, Republican 13%

Rating: Lean D

Latest polls

PollsterDatesCrowleyTiffany
Research Co.October 30 – November 1, 202650%45%
Wick (R)October 19–23, 202648%45%
Marquette UniversityOctober 14–22, 202651%44%
YouGov (D)September 22 – October 9, 202646%42%
Z to A Research (D)September 28 – October 1, 202649%44%
Marquette UniversitySeptember 16–23, 202649%46%
Marquette UniversityAugust 12–20, 202649%44%
TIPP Insights (R)August 14–18, 202647%43%
Platform Communications (R)August 12–13, 202648%44%
GBAO (D)July 30 – August 3, 202647%44%

What's at stake

For the country

  • Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally.
  • A Republican win would be a flip from Democratic control.

For Wisconsin

  • The governor signs or vetoes state laws, writes the state budget, runs state agencies, appoints officials and judges in many states, and in many states shapes how district maps are drawn.
  • For Wisconsin, the result decides whether the governor's party matches the legislature's, which shapes what can pass in the next four years.
  • It is an open seat, so there is no incumbent advantage this year.

David Crowley

  • Supporters say a Democratic governor would invest in public schools and expand health coverage.
  • They argue for protecting abortion access at the state level and raising wages.

Tom Tiffany

  • Supporters say a Republican governor would cut state income taxes and limit state spending.
  • They argue for school choice, public-safety funding and fewer business regulations.

Arguments are summarised at party level from each side's stated priorities, not quotes from the candidates.

Frequently asked questions

Who is running in the Wisconsin Governor Election 2026?

David Crowley (D), Tom Tiffany (R).

Who is favored to win the Wisconsin governor race?

Prediction markets give David Crowley a 86% chance. VoteTide's rating is Lean D.

When do polls close in Wisconsin?

On November 3, 2026, the last polls in Wisconsin close at 9 p.m. Eastern. The first results usually appear within an hour.

Where do these Wisconsin results come from?

Vote counts come from official election sources as they are published (and from the AP when configured). Odds come from Kalshi and Polymarket, and polls from public polling tables. The page refreshes every minute.

Wisconsin at a glance

  • 2024 presidential result: Trump +0.9
  • Electoral votes: 10
  • U.S. House seats: 8

Other Wisconsin races: House