VoteTide

Vermont Governor Election 2026: Live Results

The Vermont Governor Election 2026 is on November 3, 2026. Amanda Janoo (Democrat) faces Republican Phil Scott (incumbent). The seat is currently held by Republicans. VoteTide rates the race Likely R. Prediction markets give Phil Scott a 69% chance of winning. The average of the last 5 polls has Phil Scott ahead by 0.4 points. The last polls in Vermont close at 7 p.m. Eastern.

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Updated Tue, 03 Nov 2026 14:54:05 GMT

Results

No votes have been reported yet. Polls close at 7 p.m. Eastern.

Candidates

  • Amanda Janoo (Democrat)
  • Phil Scott (Republican, incumbent)

Odds

  • Polymarket: Democrat 31%, Republican 69%

Rating: Likely R

Latest polls

PollsterDatesJanooScott
University of New HampshireOctober 27–31, 202651%43%
State NavigateOctober 23–25, 202646%49%
State NavigateOctober 2–4, 202643%46%
Braun Research/Vermont PublicSeptember 10–21, 202632%42%
University of New HampshireSeptember 17–21, 202649%43%
University of New HampshireJuly 15–20, 202633%44%
University of New HampshireJune 18–23, 202627%42%

What's at stake

For the country

  • Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally.
  • A Democratic win would be a flip from Republican control.

For Vermont

  • The governor signs or vetoes state laws, writes the state budget, runs state agencies, appoints officials and judges in many states, and in many states shapes how district maps are drawn.
  • For Vermont, the result decides whether the governor's party matches the legislature's, which shapes what can pass in the next four years.
  • Phil Scott is the incumbent. Incumbents bring seniority, name recognition and committee roles; challengers argue for a fresh start.

Amanda Janoo

  • Supporters say a Democratic governor would invest in public schools and expand health coverage.
  • They argue for protecting abortion access at the state level and raising wages.

Phil Scott

  • Supporters say a Republican governor would cut state income taxes and limit state spending.
  • They argue for school choice, public-safety funding and fewer business regulations.

Arguments are summarised at party level from each side's stated priorities, not quotes from the candidates.

Frequently asked questions

Who is running in the Vermont Governor Election 2026?

Amanda Janoo (D), Phil Scott (R, incumbent).

Who is favored to win the Vermont governor race?

Prediction markets give Phil Scott a 69% chance. VoteTide's rating is Likely R.

When do polls close in Vermont?

On November 3, 2026, the last polls in Vermont close at 7 p.m. Eastern. The first results usually appear within an hour.

Where do these Vermont results come from?

Vote counts come from official election sources as they are published (and from the AP when configured). Odds come from Kalshi and Polymarket, and polls from public polling tables. The page refreshes every minute.

Vermont at a glance

  • 2024 presidential result: Harris +31.5
  • Electoral votes: 3
  • U.S. House seats: 1

Other Vermont races: House