Texas Governor Election 2026: Live Results
The Texas Governor Election 2026 is on November 3, 2026. Gina Hinojosa (Democrat) faces Republican Greg Abbott (incumbent). The seat is currently held by Republicans. VoteTide rates the race Likely R. Prediction markets give Greg Abbott a 65% chance of winning. The average of the last 5 polls has Greg Abbott ahead by 0.6 points. The last polls in Texas close at 9 p.m. Eastern.
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Updated Tue, 03 Nov 2026 14:52:50 GMT
Results
No votes have been reported yet. Polls close at 9 p.m. Eastern.
Candidates
- Gina Hinojosa (Democrat)
- Greg Abbott (Republican, incumbent)
Odds
- Kalshi: Democrat 35%, Republican 66%
- Polymarket: Democrat 36%, Republican 64%
Rating: Likely R
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Hinojosa | Abbott |
|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. | October 31 – November 2, 2026 | 44% | 46% |
| Emerson College | October 31 – November 1, 2026 | 49% | 50% |
| AtlasIntel | October 28 – November 1, 2026 | 49% | 48% |
| New York Times/Siena University | October 27 – November 1, 2026 | 48% | 47% |
| Kreate Strategies | October 27–30, 2026 | 47% | 49% |
| YouGov | October 26–29, 2026 | 49% | 50% |
| Quantus Insights (R) | October 26–28, 2026 | 46% | 51% |
| SSRS | October 20–27, 2026 | 46% | 48% |
| Data for Progress (D) | October 23–26, 2026 | 47% | 48% |
| YouGov Blue (D) | October 21–26, 2026 | 49% | 46% |
What's at stake
For the country
- Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally.
- A Democratic win would be a flip from Republican control.
For Texas
- The governor signs or vetoes state laws, writes the state budget, runs state agencies, appoints officials and judges in many states, and in many states shapes how district maps are drawn.
- For Texas, the result decides whether the governor's party matches the legislature's, which shapes what can pass in the next four years.
- Greg Abbott is the incumbent. Incumbents bring seniority, name recognition and committee roles; challengers argue for a fresh start.
Gina Hinojosa
- Supporters say a Democratic governor would invest in public schools and expand health coverage.
- They argue for protecting abortion access at the state level and raising wages.
Greg Abbott
- Supporters say a Republican governor would cut state income taxes and limit state spending.
- They argue for school choice, public-safety funding and fewer business regulations.
Arguments are summarised at party level from each side's stated priorities, not quotes from the candidates.
Frequently asked questions
Who is running in the Texas Governor Election 2026?
Gina Hinojosa (D), Greg Abbott (R, incumbent).
Who is favored to win the Texas governor race?
Prediction markets give Greg Abbott a 65% chance. VoteTide's rating is Likely R.
When do polls close in Texas?
On November 3, 2026, the last polls in Texas close at 9 p.m. Eastern. The first results usually appear within an hour.
Where do these Texas results come from?
Vote counts come from official election sources as they are published (and from the AP when configured). Odds come from Kalshi and Polymarket, and polls from public polling tables. The page refreshes every minute.
Texas at a glance
- 2024 presidential result: Trump +13.7
- Electoral votes: 40
- U.S. House seats: 38