Pennsylvania Governor Election 2026: Live Results
The Pennsylvania Governor Election 2026 is on November 3, 2026. Josh Shapiro (Democrat, incumbent) faces Republican Stacy Garrity. The seat is currently held by Democrats. VoteTide rates the race Likely D. Prediction markets give Josh Shapiro a 99% chance of winning. The average of the last 5 polls has Josh Shapiro ahead by 25.0 points. The last polls in Pennsylvania close at 8 p.m. Eastern.
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Updated Tue, 03 Nov 2026 16:29:48 GMT
Results
No votes have been reported yet. Polls close at 8 p.m. Eastern.
Candidates
- Josh Shapiro (Democrat, incumbent)
- Stacy Garrity (Republican)
Odds
- Kalshi: Democrat 98%, Republican 2%
- Polymarket: Democrat 99%, Republican 1%
Rating: Likely D
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Shapiro | Garrity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. | October 30 – November 1, 2026 | 59% | 34% |
| ActiVote | October 1–21, 2026 | 61.5% | 38.5% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | October 7–18, 2026 | 52% | 30% |
| PennLive | October 5–11, 2026 | 58% | 28% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 1–5, 2026 | 59% | 34% |
| Z to A Research (D) | September 28 – October 1, 2026 | 53% | 34% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | September 22–30, 2026 | 52% | 31% |
| PennLive | September 16–22, 2026 | 55% | 28% |
| The New York Times/The Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena University | September 15–22, 2026 | 58% | 38% |
| PennLive | August 18–22, 2026 | 56% | 25% |
What's at stake
For the country
- Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally.
- A Republican win would be a flip from Democratic control.
For Pennsylvania
- The governor signs or vetoes state laws, writes the state budget, runs state agencies, appoints officials and judges in many states, and in many states shapes how district maps are drawn.
- For Pennsylvania, the result decides whether the governor's party matches the legislature's, which shapes what can pass in the next four years.
- Josh Shapiro is the incumbent. Incumbents bring seniority, name recognition and committee roles; challengers argue for a fresh start.
Josh Shapiro
- Supporters say a Democratic governor would invest in public schools and expand health coverage.
- They argue for protecting abortion access at the state level and raising wages.
Stacy Garrity
- Supporters say a Republican governor would cut state income taxes and limit state spending.
- They argue for school choice, public-safety funding and fewer business regulations.
Arguments are summarised at party level from each side's stated priorities, not quotes from the candidates.
Frequently asked questions
Who is running in the Pennsylvania Governor Election 2026?
Josh Shapiro (D, incumbent), Stacy Garrity (R).
Who is favored to win the Pennsylvania governor race?
Prediction markets give Josh Shapiro a 99% chance. VoteTide's rating is Likely D.
When do polls close in Pennsylvania?
On November 3, 2026, the last polls in Pennsylvania close at 8 p.m. Eastern. The first results usually appear within an hour.
Where do these Pennsylvania results come from?
Vote counts come from official election sources as they are published (and from the AP when configured). Odds come from Kalshi and Polymarket, and polls from public polling tables. The page refreshes every minute.
Pennsylvania at a glance
- 2024 presidential result: Trump +1.7
- Electoral votes: 19
- U.S. House seats: 17
Other Pennsylvania races: House