New Mexico Governor Election 2026: Live Results
The New Mexico Governor Election 2026 is on November 3, 2026. Deb Haaland (Democrat) faces Republican Greg Hull. The seat is currently held by Democrats and is open this year. VoteTide rates the race Likely D. Prediction markets give Deb Haaland a 95% chance of winning. The average of the last 5 polls has Deb Haaland ahead by 8.6 points. The last polls in New Mexico close at 9 p.m. Eastern.
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Updated Tue, 03 Nov 2026 16:30:08 GMT
Results
No votes have been reported yet. Polls close at 9 p.m. Eastern.
Candidates
- Deb Haaland (Democrat)
- Greg Hull (Republican)
Odds
- Kalshi: Democrat 94%, Republican 6%
- Polymarket: Democrat 96%, Republican 4%
Rating: Likely D
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Haaland | Hull |
|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. | October 31 – November 2, 2026 | 51% | 44% |
| Research & Polling Inc. | October 1–9, 2026 | 49% | 42% |
| SurveyUSA | September 25–30, 2026 | 47% | 41% |
| Research & Polling Inc. | August 21–28, 2026 | 49% | 43% |
| BSP Research (D) | July 22 – August 7, 2026 | 41% | 24% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R) | July 13–15, 2026 | 46% | 45% |
What's at stake
For the country
- Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally.
- A Republican win would be a flip from Democratic control.
For New Mexico
- The governor signs or vetoes state laws, writes the state budget, runs state agencies, appoints officials and judges in many states, and in many states shapes how district maps are drawn.
- For New Mexico, the result decides whether the governor's party matches the legislature's, which shapes what can pass in the next four years.
- It is an open seat, so there is no incumbent advantage this year.
Deb Haaland
- Supporters say a Democratic governor would invest in public schools and expand health coverage.
- They argue for protecting abortion access at the state level and raising wages.
Greg Hull
- Supporters say a Republican governor would cut state income taxes and limit state spending.
- They argue for school choice, public-safety funding and fewer business regulations.
Arguments are summarised at party level from each side's stated priorities, not quotes from the candidates.
Frequently asked questions
Who is running in the New Mexico Governor Election 2026?
Deb Haaland (D), Greg Hull (R).
Who is favored to win the New Mexico governor race?
Prediction markets give Deb Haaland a 95% chance. VoteTide's rating is Likely D.
When do polls close in New Mexico?
On November 3, 2026, the last polls in New Mexico close at 9 p.m. Eastern. The first results usually appear within an hour.
Where do these New Mexico results come from?
Vote counts come from official election sources as they are published (and from the AP when configured). Odds come from Kalshi and Polymarket, and polls from public polling tables. The page refreshes every minute.
New Mexico at a glance
- 2024 presidential result: Harris +6.0
- Electoral votes: 5
- U.S. House seats: 3