New Hampshire Governor Election 2026: Live Results
The New Hampshire Governor Election 2026 is on November 3, 2026. Cinde Warmington (Democrat) faces Republican Kelly Ayotte (incumbent). The seat is currently held by Republicans. VoteTide rates the race Lean R. Prediction markets give Kelly Ayotte a 85% chance of winning. The average of the last 5 polls has Kelly Ayotte ahead by 6.6 points. The last polls in New Hampshire close at 8 p.m. Eastern.
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Updated Tue, 03 Nov 2026 16:30:30 GMT
Results
No votes have been reported yet. Polls close at 8 p.m. Eastern.
Candidates
- Cinde Warmington (Democrat)
- Kelly Ayotte (Republican, incumbent)
Odds
- Polymarket: Democrat 15%, Republican 85%
Rating: Lean R
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Warmington | Ayotte |
|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel | October 28 – November 1, 2026 | 44% | 50% |
| University of New Hampshire | October 27–31, 2026 | 48% | 48% |
| National Public Affairs (R) | October 25–29, 2026 | 43% | 52% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | October 20–23, 2026 | 42% | 52% |
| Saint Anselm College | October 19–20, 2026 | 42% | 50% |
| UMass Lowell/YouGov | October 2–19, 2026 | 42% | 48% |
| National Public Affairs (R) | October 8–12, 2026 | 38% | 54% |
| YouGov | September 28 – October 5, 2026 | 40% | 49% |
| Saint Anselm College | September 28–29, 2026 | 45% | 52% |
| The New York Times/Siena University | September 15–22, 2026 | 41% | 52% |
What's at stake
For the country
- Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally.
- A Democratic win would be a flip from Republican control.
For New Hampshire
- The governor signs or vetoes state laws, writes the state budget, runs state agencies, appoints officials and judges in many states, and in many states shapes how district maps are drawn.
- For New Hampshire, the result decides whether the governor's party matches the legislature's, which shapes what can pass in the next four years.
- Kelly Ayotte is the incumbent. Incumbents bring seniority, name recognition and committee roles; challengers argue for a fresh start.
Cinde Warmington
- Supporters say a Democratic governor would invest in public schools and expand health coverage.
- They argue for protecting abortion access at the state level and raising wages.
Kelly Ayotte
- Supporters say a Republican governor would cut state income taxes and limit state spending.
- They argue for school choice, public-safety funding and fewer business regulations.
Arguments are summarised at party level from each side's stated priorities, not quotes from the candidates.
Frequently asked questions
Who is running in the New Hampshire Governor Election 2026?
Cinde Warmington (D), Kelly Ayotte (R, incumbent).
Who is favored to win the New Hampshire governor race?
Prediction markets give Kelly Ayotte a 85% chance. VoteTide's rating is Lean R.
When do polls close in New Hampshire?
On November 3, 2026, the last polls in New Hampshire close at 8 p.m. Eastern. The first results usually appear within an hour.
Where do these New Hampshire results come from?
Vote counts come from official election sources as they are published (and from the AP when configured). Odds come from Kalshi and Polymarket, and polls from public polling tables. The page refreshes every minute.
New Hampshire at a glance
- 2024 presidential result: Harris +2.8
- Electoral votes: 4
- U.S. House seats: 2