VoteTide

Nevada Governor Election 2026: Live Results

The Nevada Governor Election 2026 is on November 3, 2026. Aaron Ford (Democrat) faces Republican Joe Lombardo (incumbent). The seat is currently held by Republicans. VoteTide rates the race Toss-up. Prediction markets give Aaron Ford a 77% chance of winning. The average of the last 5 polls has Aaron Ford ahead by 1.0 points. The last polls in Nevada close at 10 p.m. Eastern.

Open the live interactive map →

Updated Tue, 03 Nov 2026 17:10:19 GMT

Results

No votes have been reported yet. Polls close at 10 p.m. Eastern.

Ballots already cast

By party registration of the voter, not who they voted for.

D 39%R 34%
  • Voted in person (early)308,025
  • Voted by mail445,031
  • Total ballots cast753,056
  • Share of 2022 total turnout74%
  • Mail ballots requested2,091,835
  • Registered Democrats ahead by42,409

UF Election Lab · updated 11/2/2026

Candidates

  • Aaron Ford (Democrat)
  • Joe Lombardo (Republican, incumbent)

Odds

  • Kalshi: Democrat 76%, Republican 25%
  • Polymarket: Democrat 78%, Republican 22%

Rating: Toss-up

Latest polls

PollsterDatesFordLombardo
Noble Predictive InsightsOctober 26–28, 202647%47%
Hart Research (D)October 20–25, 202649%45%
RedBox Research (D)October 20–23, 202646%43%
Global Strategy Group (D)October 8–13, 202647%48%
Concord Public Opinion Partners (D)September 26–30, 202642%43%
Noble Predictive InsightsSeptember 22–26, 202637%38%
Emerson CollegeSeptember 5–8, 202644%42%
Tarrance Group (R)July 25–29, 202643%50%
Public Policy Polling (D)July 15–16, 202644%44%
Grassroots Targeting (R)July 8–6, 202640%52%

What's at stake

For the country

  • Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally.
  • A Democratic win would be a flip from Republican control.

For Nevada

  • The governor signs or vetoes state laws, writes the state budget, runs state agencies, appoints officials and judges in many states, and in many states shapes how district maps are drawn.
  • For Nevada, the result decides whether the governor's party matches the legislature's, which shapes what can pass in the next four years.
  • Joe Lombardo is the incumbent. Incumbents bring seniority, name recognition and committee roles; challengers argue for a fresh start.

Aaron Ford

  • Supporters say a Democratic governor would invest in public schools and expand health coverage.
  • They argue for protecting abortion access at the state level and raising wages.

Joe Lombardo

  • Supporters say a Republican governor would cut state income taxes and limit state spending.
  • They argue for school choice, public-safety funding and fewer business regulations.

Arguments are summarised at party level from each side's stated priorities, not quotes from the candidates.

Frequently asked questions

Who is running in the Nevada Governor Election 2026?

Aaron Ford (D), Joe Lombardo (R, incumbent).

Who is favored to win the Nevada governor race?

Prediction markets give Aaron Ford a 77% chance. VoteTide's rating is Toss-up.

When do polls close in Nevada?

On November 3, 2026, the last polls in Nevada close at 10 p.m. Eastern. The first results usually appear within an hour.

Where do these Nevada results come from?

Vote counts come from official election sources as they are published (and from the AP when configured). Odds come from Kalshi and Polymarket, and polls from public polling tables. The page refreshes every minute.

Nevada at a glance

  • 2024 presidential result: Trump +3.1
  • Electoral votes: 6
  • U.S. House seats: 4

Other Nevada races: House