VoteTide

Hawaii Governor Election 2026: Live Results

The Hawaii Governor Election 2026 is on November 3, 2026. Josh Green (Democrat, incumbent) faces Republican Gary Cordery. The seat is currently held by Democrats. VoteTide rates the race Safe D. Prediction markets give Josh Green a 98% chance of winning. The last polls in Hawaii close at 12 a.m. Eastern (after midnight).

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Updated Tue, 03 Nov 2026 16:29:30 GMT

Results

No votes have been reported yet. Polls close at 12 a.m. Eastern (after midnight).

Candidates

  • Josh Green (Democrat, incumbent)
  • Gary Cordery (Republican)

Odds

  • Kalshi: Democrat 97%, Republican 3%
  • Polymarket: Democrat 98%, Republican 2%

Rating: Safe D

What's at stake

For the country

  • Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally.
  • A Republican win would be a flip from Democratic control.

For Hawaii

  • The governor signs or vetoes state laws, writes the state budget, runs state agencies, appoints officials and judges in many states, and in many states shapes how district maps are drawn.
  • For Hawaii, the result decides whether the governor's party matches the legislature's, which shapes what can pass in the next four years.
  • Josh Green is the incumbent. Incumbents bring seniority, name recognition and committee roles; challengers argue for a fresh start.

Josh Green

  • Supporters say a Democratic governor would invest in public schools and expand health coverage.
  • They argue for protecting abortion access at the state level and raising wages.

Gary Cordery

  • Supporters say a Republican governor would cut state income taxes and limit state spending.
  • They argue for school choice, public-safety funding and fewer business regulations.

Arguments are summarised at party level from each side's stated priorities, not quotes from the candidates.

Frequently asked questions

Who is running in the Hawaii Governor Election 2026?

Josh Green (D, incumbent), Gary Cordery (R).

Who is favored to win the Hawaii governor race?

Prediction markets give Josh Green a 98% chance. VoteTide's rating is Safe D.

When do polls close in Hawaii?

On November 3, 2026, the last polls in Hawaii close at 12 a.m. Eastern (after midnight). The first results usually appear within an hour.

Where do these Hawaii results come from?

Vote counts come from official election sources as they are published (and from the AP when configured). Odds come from Kalshi and Polymarket, and polls from public polling tables. The page refreshes every minute.

Hawaii at a glance

  • 2024 presidential result: Harris +23.1
  • Electoral votes: 4
  • U.S. House seats: 2

Other Hawaii races: House