Florida Governor Election 2026: Live Results
The Florida Governor Election 2026 is on November 3, 2026. David Jolly (Democrat) faces Republican Byron Donalds. The seat is currently held by Republicans and is open this year. VoteTide rates the race Likely R. Prediction markets give Byron Donalds a 67% chance of winning. The average of the last 5 polls has Byron Donalds ahead by 3.6 points. The last polls in Florida close at 8 p.m. Eastern.
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Updated Tue, 03 Nov 2026 17:08:40 GMT
Results
No votes have been reported yet. Polls close at 8 p.m. Eastern.
Ballots already cast
By party registration of the voter, not who they voted for.
- Voted Vote-by-Mail1,997,884
- Voted Early3,467,306
- Total ballots cast5,465,190
- Share of 2022 total turnout70%
- Vote-by-Mail Provided (Not Yet Returned)466,521
- Registered Republicans ahead by129,244
Florida Division of Elections · updated 11/03/2026 11:02AM
Candidates
- David Jolly (Democrat)
- Byron Donalds (Republican)
Odds
- Kalshi: Democrat 33%, Republican 67%
- Polymarket: Democrat 34%, Republican 66%
Rating: Likely R
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Jolly | Donalds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. | October 31 – November 2, 2026 | 44% | 48% |
| RedBox Research (D) | October 30–31, 2026 | 46% | 47% |
| ActiVote | October 20–31, 2026 | 48% | 52% |
| Big Data Poll | October 26–30, 2026 | 44% | 47% |
| Stetson University | October 26–30, 2026 | 45% | 51% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | October 28–29, 2026 | 45% | 49% |
| Targoz Market Research | October 26–29, 2026 | 43% | 50% |
| Political Matrix/The Listener Group | October 26–28, 2026 | 39% | 40% |
| St. Pete Polls | October 25–27, 2026 | 46% | 48% |
| New York Times/Siena University | October 19–25, 2026 | 44% | 48% |
What's at stake
For the country
- Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally.
- A Democratic win would be a flip from Republican control.
For Florida
- The governor signs or vetoes state laws, writes the state budget, runs state agencies, appoints officials and judges in many states, and in many states shapes how district maps are drawn.
- For Florida, the result decides whether the governor's party matches the legislature's, which shapes what can pass in the next four years.
- It is an open seat, so there is no incumbent advantage this year.
David Jolly
- Supporters say a Democratic governor would invest in public schools and expand health coverage.
- They argue for protecting abortion access at the state level and raising wages.
Byron Donalds
- Supporters say a Republican governor would cut state income taxes and limit state spending.
- They argue for school choice, public-safety funding and fewer business regulations.
Arguments are summarised at party level from each side's stated priorities, not quotes from the candidates.
Frequently asked questions
Who is running in the Florida Governor Election 2026?
David Jolly (D), Byron Donalds (R).
Who is favored to win the Florida governor race?
Prediction markets give Byron Donalds a 67% chance. VoteTide's rating is Likely R.
When do polls close in Florida?
On November 3, 2026, the last polls in Florida close at 8 p.m. Eastern. The first results usually appear within an hour.
Where do these Florida results come from?
Vote counts come from official election sources as they are published (and from the AP when configured). Odds come from Kalshi and Polymarket, and polls from public polling tables. The page refreshes every minute.
Florida at a glance
- 2024 presidential result: Trump +13.1
- Electoral votes: 30
- U.S. House seats: 28