Arizona Governor Election 2026: Live Results
The Arizona Governor Election 2026 is on November 3, 2026. Katie Hobbs (Democrat, incumbent) faces Republican Andy Biggs. The seat is currently held by Democrats. VoteTide rates the race Likely D. Prediction markets give Katie Hobbs a 93% chance of winning. The average of the last 5 polls has Katie Hobbs ahead by 7.0 points. The last polls in Arizona close at 9 p.m. Eastern.
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Updated Tue, 03 Nov 2026 17:16:54 GMT
Results
No votes have been reported yet. Polls close at 9 p.m. Eastern.
Ballots already cast
By party registration of the voter, not who they voted for.
- Voted by mail1,648,197
- Share of 2022 total turnout64%
- Mail ballots requested3,331,327
- Registered Republicans ahead by11,958
UF Election Lab · updated 11/2/2026
Candidates
- Katie Hobbs (Democrat, incumbent)
- Andy Biggs (Republican)
Odds
- Kalshi: Democrat 93%, Republican 7%
- Polymarket: Democrat 94%, Republican 6%
Rating: Likely D
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Hobbs | Biggs |
|---|---|---|---|
| GrayHouse (R) | October 28–29, 2026 | 50% | 45% |
| Noble Predictive Insights | October 26–28, 2026 | 51% | 45% |
| HighGround, Inc. | October 21–25, 2026 | 52% | 39% |
| RedBox Research (D) | October 20–23, 2026 | 47% | 42% |
| GrayHouse (R) | October 18–20, 2026 | 51% | 45% |
| HighGround, Inc. | October 6–8, 2026 | 51% | 34% |
| GrayHouse (R) | October 6–8, 2026 | 50% | 44% |
| Wick (R) | October 3–6, 2026 | 49% | 43% |
| GQR (D) | September 30 – October 5, 2026 | 49% | 45% |
| Lake Research Partners (D) | September 16–30, 2026 | 56% | 33% |
What's at stake
For the country
- Governors don't vote in Congress, but they run elections, carry out federal programs like Medicaid, and often lead their party nationally.
- A Republican win would be a flip from Democratic control.
For Arizona
- The governor signs or vetoes state laws, writes the state budget, runs state agencies, appoints officials and judges in many states, and in many states shapes how district maps are drawn.
- For Arizona, the result decides whether the governor's party matches the legislature's, which shapes what can pass in the next four years.
- Katie Hobbs is the incumbent. Incumbents bring seniority, name recognition and committee roles; challengers argue for a fresh start.
Katie Hobbs
- Supporters say a Democratic governor would invest in public schools and expand health coverage.
- They argue for protecting abortion access at the state level and raising wages.
Andy Biggs
- Supporters say a Republican governor would cut state income taxes and limit state spending.
- They argue for school choice, public-safety funding and fewer business regulations.
Arguments are summarised at party level from each side's stated priorities, not quotes from the candidates.
Frequently asked questions
Who is running in the Arizona Governor Election 2026?
Katie Hobbs (D, incumbent), Andy Biggs (R).
Who is favored to win the Arizona governor race?
Prediction markets give Katie Hobbs a 93% chance. VoteTide's rating is Likely D.
When do polls close in Arizona?
On November 3, 2026, the last polls in Arizona close at 9 p.m. Eastern. The first results usually appear within an hour.
Where do these Arizona results come from?
Vote counts come from official election sources as they are published (and from the AP when configured). Odds come from Kalshi and Polymarket, and polls from public polling tables. The page refreshes every minute.
Arizona at a glance
- 2024 presidential result: Trump +5.5
- Electoral votes: 11
- U.S. House seats: 9
Other Arizona races: House