VoteTide

Wyoming Senate Election 2026: Live Results

The Wyoming Senate Election 2026 is on November 3, 2026. James Byrd (Democrat) faces Republican Harriet Hageman. The seat is currently held by Republicans and is open this year. VoteTide rates the race Safe R. Prediction markets give Harriet Hageman a 99% chance of winning. Harriet Hageman has won with 65.2% and about 86% counted. The last polls in Wyoming close at 9 p.m. Eastern.

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Updated Wed, 04 Nov 2026 17:14:42 GMT

Results

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Harriet Hageman ✓R122,15765.2%
James W. Byrd D65,09734.8%
86% reporting

Ballots already cast

By party registration of the voter, not who they voted for.

D 17%R 75%
  • Voted by mail73,895
  • Share of 2022 total turnout37%
  • Mail ballots requested76,934
  • Registered Republicans ahead by43,269

UF Election Lab · updated 11/3/2026

Candidates

JB

James Byrd

Democrat

Raised $54K (FEC)

Harriet Hageman

Harriet Hageman

Republican

Harriet Maxine Hageman (born October 18, 1962) is an American politician and attorney serving as the U.S. representative for Wyoming's at-large congressional district since 2023. She is the senator-elect from Wyoming, and is set to succeed incumbent Cynthia Lummis in 2027.

Raised $2.8M (FEC)

Full biography

Odds

  • Kalshi: Democrat 1%, Republican 99%

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Rating: Safe R

What's at stake

For the country

  • This seat is held by Republicans. A Democratic win would be a flip, one of the 4 net gains Democrats need to reach 51 seats and take control.
  • A Republican hold keeps it in the column that protects the current 53-seat majority.
  • Senate control decides which judges and cabinet nominees are confirmed and whether the President's bills can pass.

For Wyoming

  • Senators vote on every federal law, confirm Supreme Court justices, federal judges and cabinet members, and ratify treaties. Terms last six years.
  • It is an open seat, so there is no incumbent advantage this year.

Harriet Hageman

  • Supporters say a Republican senator would keep taxes low and protect recent tax cuts.
  • They argue for tighter border security and stricter immigration enforcement.
  • They favour expanding domestic energy production and cutting federal regulation.

James Byrd

  • Supporters say a Democratic senator would push to lower health-care costs and protect the Affordable Care Act.
  • They argue for restoring federal abortion protections and expanding voting access.
  • They favour raising taxes on the highest earners and corporations to fund programs.

Arguments are summarised at party level from each side's stated priorities, not quotes from the candidates.

Frequently asked questions

Who is running in the Wyoming Senate Election 2026?

James Byrd (D), Harriet Hageman (R).

Who is favored to win the Wyoming senate race?

Prediction markets give Harriet Hageman a 99% chance. VoteTide's rating is Safe R.

When do polls close in Wyoming?

On November 3, 2026, the last polls in Wyoming close at 9 p.m. Eastern. The first results usually appear within an hour.

Where do these Wyoming results come from?

Vote counts come from official election sources as they are published (and from the AP when configured). Odds come from Kalshi and Polymarket, and polls from public polling tables. The page refreshes every minute.

Wyoming at a glance

  • 2024 president: Trump +45.8 (266,353 votes)
  • 2020 president: Trump +43.4 (276,765 votes)
  • Ballots cast before Election Day equal 57% of the 2024 total.
  • Electoral votes: 3
  • U.S. House seats: 1

Other Wyoming races: HouseGovernor